Problem set 1

Due by 11:59 PM on Saturday, January 20, 2018

Submit this as a PDF on Learning Suite. Show your work when possible.

1

Download this datasetSource: Global Consumption and Income Project. All incomes expressed in 2005 USD PPP.

:

  1. Choose five countries you are interested in.
  2. For each of these countries, calculate the 90/10 ratio for 1980, 1990, 2000, and 2014.Look at the step-by-step instructions in ESPP.

  3. Include a table of these ratios in your problem set. Try ploting all four ratios for all five countries at the same time too and include that graph.
  4. Speculate about country- and time-based differences between these countries. Answer in ≈50 words.

2

NOTE: We’ll cover how to deal with compound annual interest at the beginning of class 2. The instructions for doing this are in ESPP—ESPP calls this the CAGR, and they include instructions in section 1.2. If you want to try it without an in-class example, you can also look at the lab for the daytime students for an example of how to do this.

Download this datasetSource: ESPP. All numbers expressed in 1990 international USD (i.e. they’re all real; you don’t need to adjust for inflation or anything).

:

  1. Calculate the compound annual growth rateESPP calls this the CAGR.

     for China, Britain, Italy, and India for the years 1750–1850, 1851–1950, and 1951–2014.
  2. Include a table of these growth rates and try to plot them somehow.
  3. Explain why you need to calculate the compound annual growth rate. Answer in a sentence.
  4. Discuss the results. Which countries grew the most in which 100-year periods? Speculate about why. Answer in ≈75 words.

3

The following table shows the nominal GDP (in 2015 US dollars) and the population of Japan in 2013 and 2014:Source: The World Bank.

Measure 2013 2014
GDP $4,919,563,108,372.50 $4,601,461,206,885.10
Population 127,338,621 127,131,800

 

Based on this information, which of the following statements regarding GDP per capita is correct? Explain why or why not in a sentence for each:

  1. The GDP per capita in 2013 was $36,194.41.
  2. The GDP per capita fell by 6.74% between 2013 and 2014.
  3. The fall in the population was enough to offset the fall in the GDP for an overall growth in GDP per capita between 2013 and 2014.
  4. The GDP per capita fell by 6.31% between 2013 and 2014.

4

NOTE: For part 2 here, you’ll need to calculate the compound annual inflation rate, just like in question 2 above. We’ll cover that at the beginning of class next time.

  1. The consumer price index (1982–84 = 100) in December 1980 was 86.4, and it was 247.963 in December 2017.Source: CPIAUCSL from FRED.

     How much inflation has there been between 1980 and 2017?
  2. In December 1980 the average price of unleaded regular gasoline was $1.34; in December 2017, it was $2.48.Source: Weekly U. S. Regular All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices from the US EIA.

     Did the price of gasoline increase or decrease in real terms over this period? By what percentage has the price of gasoline changed (in real terms) over this period? What is the implied average annual rate of growth or decline in the real price over this period?
  3. In 1980 the federal minimum wage was $3.10 per hour; today it is $7.25. Has its real value increased or decreased over this period? What policy and managerial implications does this have?

5

Download this datasetSource: FRED. See the R code I used to download and process this data.

:

  1. Calculate the nominal GDP per capita for the United States.
  2. Calculate the real GDP per capita for the United States in 2012 dollars.You shouldn’t use the CPI here. The Fed and other national agencies have a special kind of CPI-like measure for GDP called the “GDP deflator”, which is included in the dataset you downloaded. The reference year for this deflator is 2012

  3. Calculate the real GDP per capita for the United States in 2018 dollars.
  4. Create a plot showing three lines over time: nominal GDP per capita, real GDP per capita (2012 dollars), and real GDP per capita (2018 dollars).
  5. Calculate the percent change between each year for one of the real GDP columns. Which year saw the biggest growth rate? Which year saw the smallest growth rate?Plot the annual percent change if you’re feeling adventurous.